Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Max Alcala Gurri vs Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Alcala Gurri
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Max Alcala Gurri
6-4 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Alcala Gurri 1577 · Martin Krumich 1519
| Max Alcala Gurri | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1577 vs 1519).
Statistics
| Max Alcala Gurri | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.1 | 11.7-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Alan Wazny Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Alcala Gurri vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 58% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.