Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Dylan Dietrich vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Dylan Dietrich
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dylan Dietrich
5-5 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dylan Dietrich 1550 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1442
| Dylan Dietrich | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dylan Dietrich (rating 1550 vs 1442).
- Dylan Dietrich is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dylan Dietrich | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 13.7-14.5 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 12 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dylan Dietrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Jerome Kym ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Thiago Monteiro ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Otto Virtanen ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Max Hans Rehberg M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Marvin Moeller M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Fadi Bidan M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Tomas Barrios Vera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Dane Sweeny Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Paul Jubb Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Marco Cecchinato Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Luka Pavlovic French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Harold Mayot French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Emilio Nava Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dylan Dietrich vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 57% to Dylan Dietrich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.