Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 14:30
Prediction: Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Faurel
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Faurel
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Faurel 1472 · Daniel Rincon 1570
| Thomas Faurel | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Rincon (rating 1472 vs 1570).
- Daniel Rincon is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thomas Faurel | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.7 | 13.2-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Clement Tabur Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Florent Bax Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Valentin Vacherot French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 21/05 | Dalibor Svrcina French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/07 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 01/07 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Faurel vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 61% to Daniel Rincon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.