Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 20:00

Prediction: Jerome Kym vs Jay Clarke

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Jerome Kym Jay Clarke
Estimated games
25.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jerome Kym 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWWLLWL
Jay Clarke 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jerome Kym 1540 · Jay Clarke 1511
Jerome KymJay Clarke
Our model54%46%
Market72%28%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Jerome Kym makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Jay Clarke makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

Jerome KymJay Clarke
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.6-1.31.5-1.1
Games (G-P)15.9-1413.7-11.4
Aces9.64.1
Double faults4.44.4
1st serve %78.1%73%
Break %32.4%61.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jerome Kym

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 17-19 L
14/07 Dylan Dietrich
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 16-18 W
11/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
10/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
08/07 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
06/07 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-1 14-8 W
25/06 Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 28-27 L
24/06 August Holmgren
Wimbledon · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Wimbledon · Grass
2-1 17-12 W
17/06 Titouan Droguet
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 16-16 L

Jay Clarke

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M25 The Hague
1-2 14-16 L
08/07 Mac Visser
M25 The Hague
2-0 13-8 W
22/06 Andrea Pellegrino
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 16-15 L
17/06 Christopher O'Connell
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 16-17 L
15/06 Tristan Boyer
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
14/06 August Holmgren
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
13/06 Daniel Masur
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
04/06 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
02/06 Iannis Miletich
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 12-0 W
26/05 Milos Karol
Challenger Kosice · Clay
1-2 12-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jerome Kym vs Jay Clarke?

Our model gives 64% to Jerome Kym, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.