Tennis · Challenger Zug · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc-Andrea Huesler
Prediction summary
Winner
Roberto Carballes Baena
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Roberto Carballes Baena
7-3 (W-L)
Marc-Andrea Huesler
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roberto Carballes Baena 1557 · Marc-Andrea Huesler 1455
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Marc-Andrea Huesler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roberto Carballes Baena (rating 1557 vs 1455).
- Roberto Carballes Baena is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Roberto Carballes Baena | Marc-Andrea Huesler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.2 | 11.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roberto Carballes Baena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Mark Ceban Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Edas Butvilas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Zachary Svajda ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/05 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 16/05 | Clement Tabur ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Munich · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roberto Carballes Baena vs Marc-Andrea Huesler?
Our model gives 61% to Roberto Carballes Baena, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.