Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 16:30
Prediction: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
Prediction summary
Winner
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Estimated games
24.6
Recent form · 10 last
Buvaysar Gadamauri
8-2 (W-L)
Alvaro Guillen Meza
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Buvaysar Gadamauri 1557 · Alvaro Guillen Meza 1416
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Buvaysar Gadamauri (rating 1557 vs 1416).
- Buvaysar Gadamauri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alvaro Guillen Meza makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Alvaro Guillen Meza | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-12 | 12.1-15.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 46.3% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 08/06 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/05 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 19/05 | Colton Smith French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Our model gives 57% to Buvaysar Gadamauri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.