Tennis · Challenger Zug · 20/07, 16:00
Prediction: Zsombor Piros vs Stefano Napolitano
Prediction summary
Winner
Zsombor Piros
Stefano Napolitano
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Zsombor Piros
8-2 (W-L)
Stefano Napolitano
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Zsombor Piros
0–1
Stefano Napolitano
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zsombor Piros 1650 · Stefano Napolitano 1524
| Zsombor Piros | Stefano Napolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1650 vs 1524).
- Zsombor Piros is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Zsombor Piros 0–1 Stefano Napolitano (1).
Statistics
| Zsombor Piros | Stefano Napolitano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-7.9 | 12.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 11 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 62.3% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Zsombor Piros 0 – 1 Stefano Napolitano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zsombor Piros 0–1 Stefano Napolitano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/24 Wimbledon | 1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Stefan Palosi Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Radu Albot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Stefano Napolitano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Edward Winter Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/05 | Philip Henning Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/05 | Alejandro Moro Canas French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zsombor Piros vs Stefano Napolitano?
Our model gives 72% to Zsombor Piros, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.