Tennis · Challenger Bloomfield Hills · 19/07, 21:00
Prediction: Noah Zamora vs Karl Poling
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Zamora
Karl Poling
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Zamora
5-5 (W-L)
Karl Poling
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Zamora 1527 · Karl Poling 1503
| Noah Zamora | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Noah Zamora | Karl Poling | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.6 | 13.8-13.6 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 62% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Spencer Johnson M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Rudy Quan M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Karl Poling
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kenta Miyoshi M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Maxime St-Hilaire M25 Laval |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Rozin M25 Laval |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dmitry Popko M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/06 | James Trotter M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Zamora vs Karl Poling?
Our model gives 50% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.