Tennis · Challenger Zug · 19/07, 13:30
Prediction: Thiago Monteiro vs Flynn Thomas
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Monteiro
Flynn Thomas
Estimated games
23.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Monteiro
8-2 (W-L)
Flynn Thomas
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Monteiro 1527 · Flynn Thomas 1478
| Thiago Monteiro | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Monteiro (rating 1527 vs 1478).
- Note: Flynn Thomas makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Monteiro | Flynn Thomas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.7 | 9.7-11 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Monteiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Dylan Dietrich ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Pierre-Hugues Herbert ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 21/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Pol Martin Tiffon Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Andy Andrade Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/05 | Noa Vukadin Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/03 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/03 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Flynn Thomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Fares Zakaria M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 14/07 | Felix Raser M25 Kramsach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Henry Bernet M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/04 | Oskari Paldanius M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 25/03 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Dominic Stephan Stricker M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/03 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Monteiro vs Flynn Thomas?
Our model gives 75% to Thiago Monteiro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.