Tennis · Challenger Zug · 19/07, 13:30
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Patrick Schoen
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Patrick Schoen
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
7-3 (W-L)
Patrick Schoen
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mili Poljicak
1–0
Patrick Schoen
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1485 · Patrick Schoen 1563
| Mili Poljicak | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patrick Schoen (rating 1485 vs 1563).
- Mili Poljicak dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 45.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mili Poljicak 1–0 Patrick Schoen (1).
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Patrick Schoen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.3 | 12.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 59.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Mili Poljicak 1 – 0 Patrick Schoen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mili Poljicak 1–0 Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/24 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/05 | Duje Ajdukovic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Noah Karma M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/05 | Frano Sucic M25 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Patrick Schoen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Tiago Torres M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Rigele Te M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Porto |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Dominique Rolland M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Vasco L Prata M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/05 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Patrick Schoen?
Our model gives 55% to Mili Poljicak, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.