Tennis · Challenger Zug · 19/07, 10:30
Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gabi Adrian Boitan
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Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas
5-5 (W-L)
Gabi Adrian Boitan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1524 · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1512
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.3 | 11.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Alan Magadan Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 05/05 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/04 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/04 | Victor Braga Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Gabi Adrian Boitan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Semen Aginskiy M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/06 | Radu David Turcanu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/06 | David Ioan Morega M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-1 | 3-6 | L |
| 24/05 | Nathaniel Lammons Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cervia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Gabi Adrian Boitan?
Our model gives 60% to Juan Pablo Varillas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.