Tennis · ATP Estoril MD · 22/07, 13:00
Prediction: Stevenson/Willis vs Arends/Pel
Prediction summary
Winner
Stevenson/Willis
Arends/Pel
Estimated games
27.1
Recent form · 10 last
Stevenson/Willis
6-4 (W-L)
Arends/Pel
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stevenson/Willis 1515 · Arends/Pel 1521
| Stevenson/Willis | Arends/Pel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Stevenson/Willis makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Stevenson/Willis | Arends/Pel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-15 | 13.8-13.6 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 30.7% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stevenson/Willis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Pavlasek/Rikl ATP Umag MD · Clay |
1-2 | 15-20 | L |
| 16/07 | Kalender/Serdarusic ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/07 | Dzumhur/Latinovic ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Reymond/Sanchez ATP Umag MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Arevalo/Pavic Wimbledon MD · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Behar/Salisbury Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Harrison/Skupski ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Luz/Matos ATP Eastbourne MD · Grass |
2-1 | 23-23 | W |
| 19/06 | Heliovaara/Patten ATP Queens MD · Grass |
1-2 | 13-20 | L |
| 17/06 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin ATP Queens MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Arends/Pel
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Luz/Matos ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Griekspoor/Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Gonzalez/Gonzalez ATP Mallorca MD · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/06 | Bergs/Rinderknech ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Griekspoor/Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Diallo/Hurkacz ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 11/06 | Loof/Veldheer ATP Hertogenbosch MD · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Halys/Herbert French Open MD · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Arevalo/Pavic French Open MD · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stevenson/Willis vs Arends/Pel?
Our model gives 58% to Arends/Pel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.