Tennis · UTR Pro Waco · 21/07, 18:00
Prediction: Leo Pade vs Tomas Jirousek
Prediction summary
Winner
Leo Pade
Tomas Jirousek
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Leo Pade
7-3 (W-L)
Tomas Jirousek
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leo Pade 1526 · Tomas Jirousek 1611
| Leo Pade | Tomas Jirousek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tomas Jirousek (rating 1526 vs 1611).
- Tomas Jirousek is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Leo Pade makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Tomas Jirousek makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Leo Pade | Tomas Jirousek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-9.3 | 11.9-5.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 54.7% | 72% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leo Pade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01 | Claudio Renardi Lumanau ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/12 | Robin Eldin ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/12 | Enzo Aguiard ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Bryan Dickson ITF M25 Bali · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/12 | Nikolas Baker UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Luca Connaughton UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/12 | Matt Hulme UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/12 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/12 | Evan Vasiliadis UTR Pro Craigieburn · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Maxwell Castle UTR Pro Olomouc · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tomas Jirousek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Cole Stelse UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Esunge Ndumbe UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Gordon Gallagher UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/05 | Sean Hill UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Leo Matthysen UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/05 | Raz Haviv UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leo Pade vs Tomas Jirousek?
Our model gives 72% to Tomas Jirousek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.