Tennis · Challenger Lincoln MD · 18/07, 02:30

Prediction: Goldhoff/Harper vs Bayldon/Harper

Prediction summary

Winner

52% 48%

Goldhoff/Harper Bayldon/Harper

Estimated games

25.4

Recent form · 10 last

Goldhoff/Harper 6-4 (W-L)

WWWWLLLLWW

Bayldon/Harper 5-5 (W-L)

LWLLLWWLWW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Goldhoff/Harper 1507 · Bayldon/Harper 1528

	Goldhoff/Harper	Bayldon/Harper
Our model	47%	53%
Market	56%	44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

	Goldhoff/Harper	Bayldon/Harper
Win %	50%	60%
Win % · Hard	100% (2)	57% (7)
Sets (G-P)	1.4-1	1.4-0.9
Games (G-P)	14.3-13.8	14-13.3
Aces	3.7	2.3
Double faults	2.7	2.6
1st serve %	77.7%	73.9%
Break %	23.3%	37.5%

Estimated total games (ours) 25.4

Odds Bet365

11.67

22.10

View on Bet365 ↗

Market odds journey

We have no recommendation published on this match: this is just how the market has moved at the two bookmakers we track. It's market data, not something we recommend.

We only show the match winner: it's the only market both bookmakers offer as exactly the same bet. On the goal line and the handicap each bookmaker uses its own line, so putting them side by side would mean comparing different bets.

Bet365 margin 7.6%

First time we saw it

1 1.67 2 2.10

The bookmaker moved it 10:24 We saw it 10:33 +8 min

Last check: 11:32. We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Goldhoff/Harper

LLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
16/07	Ayeni/Chopra Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard	2-0	13-9	W
15/07	Cui/Matsuoka Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard	2-0	12-6	W
10/07	Nam/Niklas-Salminen Challenger Newport MD · Grass	0-2	8-12	L
17/06	Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Parma MD · Clay	1-2	21-21	L
10/06	Malige/Malige Challenger Lyon MD · Clay	1-2	16-23	L
04/06	Barrena/Nava Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay	1-2	16-22	L
03/06	Cornea/Lalami Challenger Heilbronn MD · Clay	2-0	14-12	W
24/04	Harper/Stevenson Challenger Savannah MD · Clay	1-2	19-23	L
23/04	Chopra/Martin Challenger Savannah MD · Clay	2-0	12-4	W
22/04	Duncan/Dutra Da Silva Challenger Savannah MD · Clay	2-0	12-6	W

Bayldon/Harper

WWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	Sets	Games	Res.
16/07	Imamura/Noguchi Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard	2-0	14-12	W
15/07	Fuchs/Thayne Challenger Lincoln MD · Hard	2-0	13-9	W
20/06	Mackinlay/Whitehouse Challenger Dublin MD · Grass	1-2	20-24	L
18/06	Added/Hands Challenger Dublin MD · Grass	2-0	12-6	W
16/06	Ficovich/Mejia Challenger Dublin MD · Grass	2-0	12-7	W
13/01	King/Peers ATP Adelaide MD · Hard	1-2	16-21	L
10/01	Kiger/Stalder Challenger Canberra MD · Hard	0-2	9-13	L
09/01	Paris/Willis Challenger Canberra MD · Hard	2-1	21-18	W
06/01	Bailly/Blockx Challenger Canberra MD · Hard	2-0	13-10	W
31/07	Kumar/Pearson Challenger Lexington MD · Hard	0-2	10-13	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Goldhoff/Harper vs Bayldon/Harper?

Our model gives 52% to Goldhoff/Harper, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.