Tennis · M25 Gandia · 16/07, 18:00
Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs Sergi Fita Juan
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrey Chepelev
Sergi Fita Juan
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Chepelev
5-5 (W-L)
Sergi Fita Juan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrey Chepelev 1515 · Sergi Fita Juan 1527
| Andrey Chepelev | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrey Chepelev | Sergi Fita Juan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.5 | 12.2-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 62.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Chepelev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Mario Arce Fernandez M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 07/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 05/07 | John Sperle Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Duje Markovina M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Ivan Sabanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Andrej Nedic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Mili Poljicak M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Johan Nikles M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs Sergi Fita Juan?
Our model gives 62% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.