Tennis · Polish National Championships Women · 16/07, 11:30
Prediction: Amelia Paszun vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Paszun
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Paszun
4-6 (W-L)
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Paszun 1494 · Zuzanna Pawlikowska 1509
| Amelia Paszun | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amelia Paszun makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Paszun | Zuzanna Pawlikowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.1 | 10.3-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 59.5% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Paszun
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Weronika Ewald W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Anna Ozerova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/05 | Laia Petretic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Adithya Karunaratne W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Viktoria Kurz W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/04 | Masha Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Helena Stevic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/04 | Olympe Lancelot W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Zuzanna Pawlikowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Viktoria Hruncakova W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Kateryna Lazarenko W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Piper Charney W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Jaedan Brown W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Sena Yoon W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Katrina Scott W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Sabine Rutlauka W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Paszun vs Zuzanna Pawlikowska?
Our model gives 59% to Zuzanna Pawlikowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.