Tennis · M25 Gandia · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Javier Barranco Cosano
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Javier Barranco Cosano
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
4-6 (W-L)
Javier Barranco Cosano
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1510 · Javier Barranco Cosano 1536
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Javier Barranco Cosano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-9.3 | 11.2-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 29.9% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lucca Helguera Casado M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Javier Barranco Cosano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Gandia |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 26/06 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Jakub Vrba M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Jozef Kovalik M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
1-1 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/03 | Carles Cordoba M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/03 | Dimitris Azoidis Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/03 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Hersonissos Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/03 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Javier Barranco Cosano?
Our model gives 72% to Javier Barranco Cosano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.