Tennis · M25 Gandia · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sergi Perez Contri vs Alejandro Juan Mano
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Perez Contri
Alejandro Juan Mano
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Perez Contri
6-4 (W-L)
Alejandro Juan Mano
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergi Perez Contri
1–0
Alejandro Juan Mano
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Perez Contri 1557 · Alejandro Juan Mano 1516
| Sergi Perez Contri | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergi Perez Contri (rating 1557 vs 1516).
- Head-to-head: Sergi Perez Contri 1–0 Alejandro Juan Mano (1).
- Note: Sergi Perez Contri makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Sergi Perez Contri | Alejandro Juan Mano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.8 | 10.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 63.6% | 44.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Sergi Perez Contri 1 – 0 Alejandro Juan Mano (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergi Perez Contri 1–0 Alejandro Juan Mano
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 M15 Almoradi | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Perez Contri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Oscar Weightman M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Robin Bertrand M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Xavi Palomar M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alejandro Juan Mano
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Javier Munoz Fuster M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Jakub Nicod M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Sander Jong M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Karl Friberg M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Max Van Nunen M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Henri Squire Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Perez Contri vs Alejandro Juan Mano?
Our model gives 62% to Sergi Perez Contri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.