Tennis · Polish National Championships (W) · 15/07, 10:30
Prediction: Weronika Ewald vs Daria Gorska
Prediction summary
Winner
Weronika Ewald
Daria Gorska
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Weronika Ewald
5-5 (W-L)
Daria Gorska
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Ewald 1516 · Daria Gorska 1473
| Weronika Ewald | Daria Gorska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Ewald (rating 1516 vs 1473).
- Note: Weronika Ewald makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Ewald | Daria Gorska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.2 | 8.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Ewald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Tina Manescu W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Gina Feistel W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Amelia Paszun W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Maja Pawelska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Magdalena Baniak W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Tena Lukas W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Sarah Van Emst W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Daria Gorska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Alisa Yakimakho W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Marcelina Podlinska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Kornelia Krzesniak W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/05 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Oceane Babel W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Miriana Tona W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Teodora Vlajic W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/04 | Federica Sacco W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Ewald vs Daria Gorska?
Our model gives 72% to Weronika Ewald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.