Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 16/07, 12:00
Prediction: Xinyu Gao vs Vendula Valdmannova
Prediction summary
Winner
Xinyu Gao
Vendula Valdmannova
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Xinyu Gao
7-3 (W-L)
Vendula Valdmannova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xinyu Gao 1528 · Vendula Valdmannova 1524
| Xinyu Gao | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Xinyu Gao dominates on serve: 10.5 aces and 43.8% break avg.
- Note: Vendula Valdmannova makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Xinyu Gao | Vendula Valdmannova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 11.5-10.1 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 48.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xinyu Gao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Vidmanova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Vendula Valdmannova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Edie Griffiths WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Nao Hibino WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Sayaka Ishii WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/05 | Carolyn Ansari W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/05 | Lina Glushko W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/05 | Vivian Wolff W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xinyu Gao vs Vendula Valdmannova?
Our model gives 54% to Vendula Valdmannova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.