Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 15/07, 13:00
Prediction: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanne Vandewinkel
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hanne Vandewinkel
6-4 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanne Vandewinkel 1514 · Weronika Falkowska 1635
| Hanne Vandewinkel | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1514 vs 1635).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Hanne Vandewinkel | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9 | 12.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanne Vandewinkel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Indianna Spink W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 08/07 | Zoziya Kardava W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Claire Liu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | Mona Barthel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Deniz Dilek WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/07 | Varvara Panshina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Daria Zelinskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 60% to Hanne Vandewinkel, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.