Tennis · M25 Gandia · 15/07, 08:00
Prediction: Noah Regas vs Eric Vanshelboim
Prediction summary
Winner
Noah Regas
Eric Vanshelboim
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Regas
5-5 (W-L)
Eric Vanshelboim
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Noah Regas 1477 · Eric Vanshelboim 1558
| Noah Regas | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1477 vs 1558).
- Eric Vanshelboim is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Noah Regas | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.9 | 10.9-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noah Regas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Yanki Erel M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/07 | Artem Alekseychuk M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Xavi Matas Ortega M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 01/04 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/03 | Lucca Helguera Casado M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Hiromasa Koyama M25 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/03 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
Eric Vanshelboim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Louis Wessels M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | Nikola Djosic M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Dusan Obradovic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/05 | Gerard Campana Lee M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/05 | Henry Best M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Nikola Slavic M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/05 | Lucas Poullain M25 Louny · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noah Regas vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Our model gives 73% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.