Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tatiana Prozorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Tatiana Prozorova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Tatiana Prozorova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daria Khomutsianskaya
0–2
Tatiana Prozorova
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1573 · Tatiana Prozorova 1519
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1573 vs 1519).
- Tatiana Prozorova dominates on serve: 7 aces and 40.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Daria Khomutsianskaya 0–2 Tatiana Prozorova (2).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Tatiana Prozorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.9 | 12-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Daria Khomutsianskaya 0 – 2 Tatiana Prozorova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daria Khomutsianskaya 0–2 Tatiana Prozorova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/24 ITF W35 Astana | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 29/04/22 ITF W15 Shymkent | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Jiangxue Han W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Tatiana Prozorova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Zhuoxuan Bai WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Carole Monnet Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Mary Stoiana WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Veronika Podrez WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Carole Monnet WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/05 | Noma Noha Akugue French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/03 | Viktoria Hruncakova W75 Murska Sobota |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tatiana Prozorova?
Our model gives 60% to Tatiana Prozorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.