Tennis · W75 Olomouc · 15/07, 13:30

Prediction: Chloe Paquet vs Valentina Ivanov

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Chloe Paquet Valentina Ivanov
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chloe Paquet 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWW
Valentina Ivanov 7-3 (W-L)
LLWWWWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chloe Paquet 1517 · Valentina Ivanov 1589
Chloe PaquetValentina Ivanov
Our model40%60%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ivanov (rating 1517 vs 1589).
  • Note: Chloe Paquet makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Valentina Ivanov makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Chloe PaquetValentina Ivanov
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 63% (8) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.81.7-0.7
Games (G-P)9.4-8.612.7-9.5
Aces0.91
Double faults4.95.3
1st serve %59.3%58%
Break %40.2%49.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chloe Paquet

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Lia Karatancheva
W75 The Hague
1-2 11-14 L
07/07 Justina Mikulskyte
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
01/07 Julia Stusek
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
25/06 Britt Du Pree
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Amy Sucha
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
16/06 Julia Grabher
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Amarissa Kiara Toth
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
14/06 Amy Zhu
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 13-6 W

Valentina Ivanov

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Allegra Korpanec Davies
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Nikola Koprivova
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Katerina Mandelikova
W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay
1-2 11-15 L
28/06 Josy Daems
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
27/06 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/06 Mara Guth
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 14-10 W
25/06 Sina Herrmann
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-1 16-10 W
24/06 Camila Rodero
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/06 Madison Sieg
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
18/06 Isabel Skoog
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chloe Paquet vs Valentina Ivanov?

Our model gives 51% to Chloe Paquet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.