Tennis · W75 Olomouc · 15/07, 10:30
Prediction: Sara Cakarevic vs Nina Vargova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Cakarevic
Nina Vargova
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Cakarevic
6-4 (W-L)
Nina Vargova
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sara Cakarevic
1–2
Nina Vargova
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Cakarevic 1504 · Nina Vargova 1543
| Sara Cakarevic | Nina Vargova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Sara Cakarevic 1–2 Nina Vargova (3).
Statistics
| Sara Cakarevic | Nina Vargova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.5 | 12.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 53.1% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Sara Cakarevic 1 – 2 Nina Vargova (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sara Cakarevic 1–2 Nina Vargova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/24 ITF W35 Hammamet | 1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/09/23 ITF W25 Santa Margherita | 2-1 | 21-19 | W |
| 22/03/23 ITF W15 Heraklion | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Cakarevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Linda Sevcikova W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Khrystyna Vozniak W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Rikke De Koning W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Amelie Brooks W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/06 | Alina Granwehr W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Kim Chiarello W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/03 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Nantes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Kira Pavlova W50 Croissy-Beaubourg · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Beatrise Zeltina W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Nina Vargova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jade Groen W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/06 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Shkutova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Soha Sadiq W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Cakarevic vs Nina Vargova?
Our model gives 73% to Nina Vargova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.