Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Harmony Tan
Anastasia Gasanova
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Harmony Tan
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Gasanova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harmony Tan 1552 · Anastasia Gasanova 1537
| Harmony Tan | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Gasanova makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Harmony Tan | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.3 | 12.4-11 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 40% | 48.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harmony Tan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Mia Pohankova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Anastasia Gasanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Emiliana Arango Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Varvara Lepchenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Martha Matoula W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Greet Minnen French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Hanyu Guo WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanova?
Our model gives 51% to Harmony Tan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.