Tennis · M25 Gandia · 14/07, 10:30

Prediction: Noah Regas vs Alvaro Jimenez

Prediction summary
Winner
40% 60%
Noah Regas Alvaro Jimenez
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Noah Regas 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
Alvaro Jimenez 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Noah Regas 1455 · Alvaro Jimenez 1450
Noah RegasAlvaro Jimenez
Our model51%49%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Noah RegasAlvaro Jimenez
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 20% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.50.7-1.5
Games (G-P)8.6-10.58.1-10.4
Aces1.20.4
Double faults1.71.7
1st serve %60.2%56.6%
Break %50.6%59%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Noah Regas

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Yanki Erel
M25 Roda de Bara
1-2 12-14 L
06/07 Artem Alekseychuk
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 8-2 W
20/05 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
19/05 Xavi Matas Ortega
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
2-1 10-11 W
01/04 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
31/03 Edouard Villoslada
M25 Reus · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/03 Lucca Helguera Casado
M25 Tarragona · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
17/03 Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Badalona · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
03/03 Leonid Sheyngezikht
M15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 3-11 L
11/02 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Almoradi · ~Clay
0-2 9-12 L

Alvaro Jimenez

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Takuya Kumasaka
M25 Roda de Bara
0-2 3-12 L
06/07 Daniel Lara Salmeron
M25 Roda de Bara
2-0 13-6 W
16/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
15/06 David Naharro
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
1-1 9-8 W
28/04 Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
31/03 Leonid Sheyngezikht
M25 Reus · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/03 Ignasi Forcano
M25 Badalona · ~Clay
1-2 8-11 L
18/02 Max Alcala Gurri
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/02 Myhalo Kovalov
M15 Antalya · ~Hard
2-0 11-2 W
11/02 Mihai Razvan Marinescu
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Noah Regas vs Alvaro Jimenez?

Our model gives 60% to Alvaro Jimenez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.