Tennis · M25 Gandia · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Martins Rocens vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Winner
Martins Rocens
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Martins Rocens
5-5 (W-L)
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martins Rocens 1492 · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1504
| Martins Rocens | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Martins Rocens | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.9 | 9.7-10.6 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 66.1% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martins Rocens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Przemyslaw Michocki M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Matthieu Chambonniere M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Karim Al-Amin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 03/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Laelson Rodrigues M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/02 | Gerard Campana Lee M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/02 | Luciano Larosa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/02 | Tilen Kovac M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Lucca Helguera Casado M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 01/04 | Marcel Zielinski M25 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 31/03 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano M25 Reus · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martins Rocens vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento?
Our model gives 54% to Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.