Tennis · M25 Gandia · 14/07, 09:00
Prediction: Adrien Burdet vs Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrien Burdet
Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Adrien Burdet
6-4 (W-L)
Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrien Burdet 1533 · Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero 1493
| Adrien Burdet | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrien Burdet (rating 1533 vs 1493).
- Note: Adrien Burdet makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Adrien Burdet | Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.2 | 9.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrien Burdet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Christian Djonov M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Andrej Martin M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Adrien Berrut M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Leandro Zgraggen M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elias Sumann M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Noah Lopez M15 Litija · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Jose Freitas M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Edward Winter M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 21/06 | Ramon Del Olmo Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Rafael Segado Esteve M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Alberto Perez Mellado UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Axel Huysmans UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Sergio R Pereira UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrien Burdet vs Izan Orgiles Garcia Retamero?
Our model gives 55% to Adrien Burdet, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.