Tennis · M25 Gandia · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Luka Talan Lopatic
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Lopez Montagud
3-7 (W-L)
Luka Talan Lopatic
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1452 · Luka Talan Lopatic 1527
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Talan Lopatic (rating 1452 vs 1527).
- Luka Talan Lopatic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.5-9.2 | 11.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.3% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Alexandre Reco M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Vito Antonio Darderi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/05 | Timofey Skatov Challenger Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Iliyan Radulov M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 29/04 | Oscar Pinto Sansano M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/02 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 05/02 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Javea |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/02 | Alejandro Juan Mano M15 Javea |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/01 | Max Alcala Gurri M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/12 | Max Alcala Gurri ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Luka Talan Lopatic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 10/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Henrik Bladelius M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Iannis Miletich M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Markel Garay Eceolaza M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Timo Rosenkranz Koenig M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Our model gives 59% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.