Tennis · M25 Gandia · 14/07, 10:30
Prediction: Kevin Edengren vs Pablo Martinez Gomez
Prediction summary
Winner
Kevin Edengren
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kevin Edengren
4-6 (W-L)
Pablo Martinez Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kevin Edengren
0–1
Pablo Martinez Gomez
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kevin Edengren 1510 · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1587
| Kevin Edengren | Pablo Martinez Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Martinez Gomez (rating 1510 vs 1587).
- Pablo Martinez Gomez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kevin Edengren 0–1 Pablo Martinez Gomez (1).
Statistics
| Kevin Edengren | Pablo Martinez Gomez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.4 | 12.4-9.6 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 35.3% | 62.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Kevin Edengren 0 – 1 Pablo Martinez Gomez (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kevin Edengren 0–1 Pablo Martinez Gomez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 M25 Lourinha | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kevin Edengren
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Rahul Dhokia M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/05 | Yanki Erel M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Karol Malirz M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Cyril Vandermeersch M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Robin Catry M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/05 | Nikolozi Sirbiladze M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/11 | Donald Nikolas Stoot M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Pablo Martinez Gomez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilya Ivashka M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Kevin Edengren M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Pablo Perez Ramos M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | John Echeverria M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kevin Edengren vs Pablo Martinez Gomez?
Our model gives 71% to Pablo Martinez Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.