Tennis · M25 Gandia · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Adam Lynch
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Adam Lynch
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
5-5 (W-L)
Adam Lynch
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1538 · Adam Lynch 1497
| Sergi Fita Juan | Adam Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergi Fita Juan (rating 1538 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Adam Lynch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.9 | 9-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 02/07 | Michiel de Krom M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Charles Chen M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Michiel de Krom M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Iker Gaztambide Arrastia M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Carles Cordoba M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Vlado Jankanj M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Johan Nikles M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Carles Cordoba M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Adam Lynch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matisse Martin M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Bastien Prod'homme M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Christian Sigsgaard M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Pietro Marino M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/04 | Corentin Denolly M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/04 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/04 | Vihaan Reddy M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Adam Lynch?
Our model gives 51% to Sergi Fita Juan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.