Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 13:30
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1554 · Priska Madelyn Nugroho 1614
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Priska Madelyn Nugroho | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Priska Madelyn Nugroho (rating 1554 vs 1614).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Priska Madelyn Nugroho | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.7-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9 | 12-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Ying Zhang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Jiangxue Han W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Rina Saigo WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Duru Soke WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/06 | Hikaru Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Dayeon Back W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Reina Goto W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daria Zelinskaya W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho?
Our model gives 52% to Priska Madelyn Nugroho, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.