Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 12:00
Prediction: Alexandra Shubladze vs Isabella Shinikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexandra Shubladze
Isabella Shinikova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandra Shubladze
9-1 (W-L)
Isabella Shinikova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexandra Shubladze
0–1
Isabella Shinikova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexandra Shubladze 1645 · Isabella Shinikova 1519
| Alexandra Shubladze | Isabella Shinikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexandra Shubladze (rating 1645 vs 1519).
- Alexandra Shubladze is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexandra Shubladze 0–1 Isabella Shinikova (1).
Statistics
| Alexandra Shubladze | Isabella Shinikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-7.5 | 9.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 54.8% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
H2H · Alexandra Shubladze 0 – 1 Isabella Shinikova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexandra Shubladze 0–1 Isabella Shinikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/24 ITF W50 Antalya | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexandra Shubladze
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Hina Inoue W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Hikaru Sato W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/05 | I Wen Wan W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Yidi Yang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/05 | Zongyu Li W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/05 | Chengyiyi Yuan W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Isabella Shinikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Yujia Huang WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Doga Turkmen WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/06 | Francesca Curmi W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Khrystyna Vozniak W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Viktoria Morvayova W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/05 | Tereza Martincova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/05 | Minel Naz Kaynak WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Polina Skliar W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Fiona Pradt W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexandra Shubladze vs Isabella Shinikova?
Our model gives 78% to Alexandra Shubladze, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.