Tennis · W75 Olomouc · 13/07, 13:00
Prediction: Lucie Petruzelova vs Lucie Urbanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Petruzelova
Lucie Urbanova
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Petruzelova
9-1 (W-L)
Lucie Urbanova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Petruzelova 1578 · Lucie Urbanova 1512
| Lucie Petruzelova | Lucie Urbanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Petruzelova (rating 1578 vs 1512).
Statistics
| Lucie Petruzelova | Lucie Urbanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.5 | 10.1-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 65.5% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Petruzelova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Madison Sieg W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 19/06 | Valentina Steiner W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anika Jaskova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Cristina Pescucci W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Zoe Du Pasquier Jensen W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/06 | Ella Haavisto W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Sara Mikaca W15 Banja Luka · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lucie Urbanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Aliaksandra Skapets W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Sara Dols ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jenna Dean ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/08 | Marcelina Podlinska ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ania Hertel ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Amelia Paszun ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Maja Schweika ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Petruzelova vs Lucie Urbanova?
Our model gives 58% to Lucie Petruzelova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.