Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Vera Zvonareva
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Vera Zvonareva
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
6-4 (W-L)
Vera Zvonareva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1577 · Vera Zvonareva 1507
| Polina Iatcenko | Vera Zvonareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Iatcenko (rating 1577 vs 1507).
- Polina Iatcenko dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 55.7% break avg.
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Vera Zvonareva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 83% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.4 | 10.9-9.6 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 71.5% | 66% |
| Break % | 55.7% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Zhuoxuan Bai Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Sara Milanese W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Aliesia Reva W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Rada Zolotareva W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Carole Monnet French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 04/05 | Storm Hunter WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Vera Zvonareva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/05 | Petra Marcinko WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Anastasia Zolotareva WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Diletta Cherubini WTA Rabat · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/04 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Stuttgart · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/03 | Aliona Falei W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 12/03 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/03 | Alana Smith W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 13/02 | Peyton Stearns WTA Dubai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Vera Zvonareva?
Our model gives 54% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.