Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliona Falei
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Aliona Falei
7-3 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliona Falei 1543 · Yue Yuan 1460
| Aliona Falei | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliona Falei (rating 1543 vs 1460).
- Aliona Falei is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aliona Falei | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.3 | 12.2-13.3 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliona Falei
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Alba Rey Garcia W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Savannah Broadus W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Manon Leonard W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Francisca Jorge W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Angelina Voloshchuk W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Elena Micic W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/05 | Lisa Pigato French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Trnava |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/05 | Anna Blinkova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/04 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 27/04 | Lulu Sun WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliona Falei vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 53% to Aliona Falei, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.