Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Xinyu Gao
Prediction summary
Winner
Linda Fruhvirtova
Xinyu Gao
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Linda Fruhvirtova
5-5 (W-L)
Xinyu Gao
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Linda Fruhvirtova
1–0
Xinyu Gao
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Linda Fruhvirtova 1483 · Xinyu Gao 1468
| Linda Fruhvirtova | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Xinyu Gao dominates on serve: 10.3 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Linda Fruhvirtova 1–0 Xinyu Gao (1).
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Linda Fruhvirtova | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.8 | 10.4-10.7 |
| Aces | 11.8 | 10.3 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 60% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Linda Fruhvirtova 1 – 0 Xinyu Gao (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linda Fruhvirtova 1–0 Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/25 W75 Trnava | 2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elsa Jacquemot French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Jessika Ponchet French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Lucie Havlickova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 07/05 | Laura Pigossi WTA Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/05 | Tereza Martincova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 20/04 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Xinyu Gao
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Corroios-Seixal |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Han Shi W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W50 Corroios-Seixal |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Xiyu Wang WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Harmony Tan French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Darja Vidmanova French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/04 | Polona Hercog WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linda Fruhvirtova vs Xinyu Gao?
Our model gives 53% to Xinyu Gao, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.