Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Harmony Tan vs Lucie Havlickova
Prediction summary
Winner
Harmony Tan
Lucie Havlickova
Estimated games
24.1
Recent form · 10 last
Harmony Tan
6-4 (W-L)
Lucie Havlickova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harmony Tan
1–0
Lucie Havlickova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harmony Tan 1559 · Lucie Havlickova 1436
| Harmony Tan | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harmony Tan (rating 1559 vs 1436).
- Lucie Havlickova dominates on serve: 6.7 aces and 58.3% break avg.
- Harmony Tan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Harmony Tan 1–0 Lucie Havlickova (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Harmony Tan | Lucie Havlickova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.3 | 11.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 39.1% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1
H2H · Harmony Tan 1 – 0 Lucie Havlickova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harmony Tan 1–0 Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/25 ITF W35 Liberec | 2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harmony Tan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Esther Adeshina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Mia Pohankova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/06 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Xinyu Gao French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Lucie Havlickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Jana Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Hibah Shaikh W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Linda Fruhvirtova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Laura Hietaranta W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harmony Tan vs Lucie Havlickova?
Our model gives 63% to Harmony Tan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.