Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 13/07, 13:30

Prediction: Rina Saigo vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho

Prediction summary
Winner
35% 65%
Rina Saigo Priska Madelyn Nugroho
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Rina Saigo 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLW
Priska Madelyn Nugroho 9-1 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rina Saigo 1499 · Priska Madelyn Nugroho 1580
Rina SaigoPriska Madelyn Nugroho
Our model39%61%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Priska Madelyn Nugroho (rating 1499 vs 1580).

Statistics

Rina SaigoPriska Madelyn Nugroho
Win %50%70%
Win % · Hard 50% (8) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.6-0.6
Games (G-P)11.2-10.412.1-9.6
Aces1.81.6
Double faults2.81.8
1st serve %59.3%62.8%
Break %54.4%51.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rina Saigo

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Naoko Eto
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
09/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 10-12 L
07/07 Elyse Tse
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
10/06 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
06/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
05/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
04/06 Jiaqi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 17-15 W
02/06 Eunhye Lee
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Haruka Kaji
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Priska Madelyn Nugroho

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Duru Soke
WTA Istanbul · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/06 Sakura Hosogi
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
27/06 Hikaru Sato
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/06 Dayeon Back
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
25/06 Reina Goto
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Ayano Shimizu
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Yufei Ren
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
11/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Daria Zelinskaya
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Yujia Huang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rina Saigo vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho?

Our model gives 65% to Priska Madelyn Nugroho, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.