Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 13/07, 12:00
Prediction: Varvara Panshina vs Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Panshina
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Panshina
5-5 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Panshina 1513 · Weronika Falkowska 1597
| Varvara Panshina | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1513 vs 1597).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Varvara Panshina makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Varvara Panshina | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.7 | 11.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Panshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuyao Li W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Kyoka Okamura W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | JiaYi Wang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Kira Pavlova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/05 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Daria Zelinskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Panshina vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 55% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.