Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 13/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Ying Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Ying Zhang
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
7-3 (W-L)
Ying Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1537 · Ying Zhang 1495
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Ying Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1537 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Ying Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.3 | 9.7-11 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Saumya Vig WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Jiangxue Han W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Chenting Zhu W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ying Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Arina Arifullina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Yuka Naito W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Miyu Nishiwaki W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Riko Kikawada W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Gaeul Jang W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gaeul Jang W35 Goyang · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Ying Zhang?
Our model gives 66% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.