Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 12/07, 13:30
Prediction: Daria Zelinskaya vs Weronika Falkowska
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Zelinskaya
Weronika Falkowska
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Zelinskaya
3-7 (W-L)
Weronika Falkowska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Zelinskaya 1485 · Weronika Falkowska 1582
| Daria Zelinskaya | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1485 vs 1582).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daria Zelinskaya | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 11.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Zelinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Jiangxue Han W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 07/06 | Yanan Hou W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Yanan Hou W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Anastasia Lepskaya W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/04 | Vivian Wolff W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 28/04 | Maria Golovina W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Eva Vedder W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Carolina Alves W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Zelinskaya vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 69% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.