Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 12/07, 13:30
Prediction: Varvara Panshina vs Ilay Yoruk
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Panshina
Ilay Yoruk
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Panshina
5-5 (W-L)
Ilay Yoruk
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Varvara Panshina
1–0
Ilay Yoruk
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Panshina 1509 · Ilay Yoruk 1546
| Varvara Panshina | Ilay Yoruk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Varvara Panshina 1–0 Ilay Yoruk (1).
- Note: Varvara Panshina makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Ilay Yoruk makes many double faults (9.1/match).
Statistics
| Varvara Panshina | Ilay Yoruk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.8 | 13-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 9.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 49% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Varvara Panshina 1 – 0 Ilay Yoruk (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varvara Panshina 1–0 Ilay Yoruk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/24 W15 Kayseri | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Panshina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Yuyao Li W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 12/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Kyoka Okamura W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/06 | JiaYi Wang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Kira Pavlova W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/05 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Huzhou · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Huzhou · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ilay Yoruk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Julia Adams W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Berrak Kocak W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Jannat Chiripal W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Lan Mi W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Julia Adams W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/06 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Panshina vs Ilay Yoruk?
Our model gives 61% to Varvara Panshina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.