Tennis · WTA Istanbul · 12/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Saumya Vig
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Saumya Vig
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Khomutsianskaya
6-4 (W-L)
Saumya Vig
0-10 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Khomutsianskaya 1510 · Saumya Vig 1391
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Saumya Vig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 96% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Khomutsianskaya (rating 1510 vs 1391).
- Daria Khomutsianskaya is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Khomutsianskaya makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Daria Khomutsianskaya | Saumya Vig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.2-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 3.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 44.7% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 23.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Khomutsianskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Xinyu Gao W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Linda Klimovicova W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 20/06 | Jiaqi Wang W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Yufei Ren W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Xi Luo W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Jiangxue Han W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Chenting Zhu W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Yidi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Saumya Vig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Swasthika Arunkumar W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Sabastiani Leon W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 06/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W35 Tumkur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Shruti Ahlawat W15 New Delhi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W15 Panipat · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-9 | L |
| 13/04 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/04 | Demi Tran W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Ch.Sambhaji Nagar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Vaishnavi Adkar W15 Nagpur |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 08/02 | Varvara Panshina W75 Pune |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Saumya Vig?
Our model gives 83% to Daria Khomutsianskaya, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.