Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem · 09/07, 18:00
Prediction: Kase Schinnerer vs Agustin Mastri
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Agustin Mastri; the market gives 54% to Agustin Mastri (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Kase Schinnerer is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Agustin Mastri 7-3 over theirs.
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kase Schinnerer 1543 · Agustin Mastri 1577
| Kase Schinnerer | Agustin Mastri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kase Schinnerer | Agustin Mastri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.4 | 11.1-7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kase Schinnerer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sachiv Kumar UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Aditya Vyas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Omar Rhazali UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Callum Markowitz UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 05/06 | Ainius Sabaliauskas UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Santiago Padilla Cote UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Zaid Mashni UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Mitchell Sheldon UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/01 | Gregory Bernadsky UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/01 | Aristotelis Bezianis UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Agustin Mastri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aditya Vyas UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Jon Gamble UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Sebastian Sec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrew Kotzen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/06 | Danial Rakhmatullayev UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Achyuth Binu UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Maddox Lundell UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kase Schinnerer vs Agustin Mastri?
Our model gives 54% to Agustin Mastri, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.