Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Aditya Vyas vs Sachiv Kumar
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 70% to Sachiv Kumar; the market gives 87% to Sachiv Kumar (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Aditya Vyas sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Sachiv Kumar arrives on a 6-4 run.
79%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aditya Vyas 1412 · Sachiv Kumar 1556
| Aditya Vyas | Sachiv Kumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sachiv Kumar (rating 1412 vs 1556).
- Sachiv Kumar is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aditya Vyas makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Aditya Vyas | Sachiv Kumar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-12.4 | 11-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aditya Vyas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Agustin Mastri UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Ashton Adesoro UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Cyrus Mahjoob UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/12 | Aleksandr Kalinin UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/12 | Jack Dimenna UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Samuel Agbesi Osei Antwi UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luke Bracks UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Justin Lyons UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/08 | Augustin Maxime Miramontes UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Sachiv Kumar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Kase Schinnerer UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Shaurya Bharadwaj UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tanapatt Nirundorn UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Danny Yassine UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Noah McDonald UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Eyal Shumilov UTR Pro Blacksburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/07 | Petro Kuzmenok UTR Pro Walpole · Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Thomas Cardona Herrera UTR Pro Walpole · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aditya Vyas vs Sachiv Kumar?
Our model gives 79% to Sachiv Kumar, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.