Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem · 08/07, 18:00

Prediction: Gabe Avram vs Lincoln Battle

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Lincoln Battle; the market gives 65% to Gabe Avram (odds 1.44).

Recent form leaves Gabe Avram with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Lincoln Battle has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

57%1
57% 43%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabe Avram 1513 · Lincoln Battle 1521
Gabe AvramLincoln Battle
Our model49%51%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Gabe AvramLincoln Battle
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-11.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12.4-11.612.4-12.1
Aces2.33.2
Double faults23.3
1st serve %63.2%65.8%
Break %42.1%44.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabe Avram

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Mason Taube
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
27/06 Drew Fishback
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/06 Nathan Pitts
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Mason Landreth
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
24/06 Alejandro Moreno
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
23/06 David Krasner
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
07/10 Ivan Dreycopp
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
06/10 John Hallquist Lithen
UTR Pro Clemson · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
16/08 Carter Pate
UTR Pro Charlotte · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
16/08 Hod'abalo Isak Padio
UTR Pro Charlotte · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Lincoln Battle

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Will Mayew
UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
25/06 Drew Fishback
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
24/06 Davis Wiley
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
03/02 Justin Boulais
Challenger Cleveland · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
07/01 Luka Butera
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
05/01 Rahul Sachdev
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
04/01 Derrick Chen
UTR Pro Athens · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
03/01 Aleksandr Kalinin
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
1-2 16-14 L
02/01 Piotr Siekanowicz
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
2-1 13-11 W
29/12 Logan Zapp
UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabe Avram vs Lincoln Battle?

Our model gives 57% to Gabe Avram, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.