Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem · 09/07, 15:00
Prediction: Luka Butera vs Andrew Delgado
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Luka Butera; the market gives 66% to Andrew Delgado (odds 1.40).
Over their last 10 matches, Luka Butera sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Andrew Delgado arrives on a 6-4 run.
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Butera 1524 · Andrew Delgado 1461
| Luka Butera | Andrew Delgado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Butera (rating 1524 vs 1461).
- Luka Butera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Andrew Delgado makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Luka Butera | Andrew Delgado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.8 | 9.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Butera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Dylan Long UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Martin Mazev UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/05 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/01 | Felix Corwin UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/01 | Lun Obrul UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/01 | Raul Garcia UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/01 | Shaurya Bharadwaj UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 09/01 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/01 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/01 | Derrick Chen UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Andrew Delgado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Martin Mazev UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Dylan Long UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/03 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 06/01 | Theodore Dean M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/12 | Ethan Muza UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 29/12 | Paxton Pritchard UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/12 | Cole Henceroth UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/11 | Keegan Smith Challenger Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Butera vs Andrew Delgado?
Our model gives 55% to Andrew Delgado, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.