Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem · 07/07, 15:00
Prediction: Luka Butera vs Martin Mazev
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Luka Butera; the market gives 87% to Luka Butera (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Luka Butera sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Martin Mazev arrives on a 2-8 run.
78%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Butera 1539 · Martin Mazev 1411
| Luka Butera | Martin Mazev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luka Butera (rating 1539 vs 1411).
- Luka Butera is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Martin Mazev makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Luka Butera | Martin Mazev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.4-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.8 | 7.3-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 59.8% |
| Break % | 53.5% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Butera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Drew Van Orderlain M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 12/01 | Felix Corwin UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 12/01 | Lun Obrul UTR Pro Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/01 | Raul Garcia UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/01 | Shaurya Bharadwaj UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 09/01 | Nischal Spurling UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/01 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 05/01 | Derrick Chen UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/01 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/08 | Asahi Harazaki UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Martin Mazev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Lorenzo Brunkow UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ty Wunderlich UTR Pro Los Angeles · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Gregory Gamal UTR Pro Los Angeles · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Payton Jim on UTR Pro Los Angeles · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Alex Jones UTR Pro Los Angeles · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Dylan Waldorf Martin UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Miles Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Jerry Barton UTR Pro Waco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Butera vs Martin Mazev?
Our model gives 78% to Luka Butera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.